Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Hischier 53.6% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 76.0%
Defensive zone
Evans 72.4%
Neutral zone
Evans 50.5%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Evans
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Evans
Hischier
Last 7: Evans 3-4 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
4
Evans
Hischier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Hischier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Hischier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
52.4% (1,185)
+2.1%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
57.8% (315)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
57.1% (154)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Evans shoots right. Hischier is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (640).
Home / Away
Evans
Hischier
Home
49.4% (336)
53.4% (844)
Away
54.8% (314)
54.3% (810)
By Period
Evans
Hischier
P1
55.8%
49.7%
P2
51.7%
54.6%
P3
48.2%
56.1%
OT
100.0%
65.5%
Final 5 min
49.0%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 19:56 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 12:19 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 02:54 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 03:11 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:38 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:30 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 05:20 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |