Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Evans wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Bergeron 61.2% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 51.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 83.6%
Neutral zone
Evans 69.6%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Evans
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Evans
Bergeron
Last 7: Evans 2-5 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
3
Evans
Bergeron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Bergeron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Bergeron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
63.8% (1,102)
-12.5%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
65.3% (288)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
47.6% (210)
-4.6%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Evans is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Evans shoots right. Bergeron is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Home / Away
Evans
Bergeron
Home
52.1% (503)
62.5% (882)
Away
47.0% (423)
61.3% (718)
By Period
Evans
Bergeron
P1
50.5%
62.5%
P2
47.7%
62.7%
P3
51.3%
60.6%
OT
40.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
51.1%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 18:23 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 18:16 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 18:03 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 09:56 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 09:23 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 03:55 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 01:31 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |