Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Bergeron 60.5% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 86.8%
Defensive zone
Evans 56.4%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 63.5%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 68.9%
31.1%
68.9%
Evans
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Evans
Bergeron
Last 5: Evans 3-2 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Bergeron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Bergeron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Bergeron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
62.5% (1,109)
-8.0%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
62.2% (352)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
53.5% (245)
-9.6%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Evans is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Evans shoots right. Bergeron is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Home / Away
Evans
Bergeron
Home
49.4% (336)
61.9% (917)
Away
54.8% (314)
60.2% (789)
By Period
Evans
Bergeron
P1
55.8%
60.8%
P2
51.7%
60.3%
P3
48.2%
63.0%
OT
100.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
49.0%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 17:10 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 19:12 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 07:33 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 04:34 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 01:46 | Offensive | Jake Evans |