Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Bennett 47.2% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 84.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 82.7%
Neutral zone
Evans 59.8%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Evans
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Evans
Bennett
Last 9: Evans 5-4 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Evans
Bennett
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
1
Evans
Bennett
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Bennett
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
45.5% (756)
+5.8%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
63.0% (92)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
31.0% (29)
+12.0%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Evans shoots right. Bennett is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
Evans
Bennett
Home
52.1% (503)
46.5% (456)
Away
47.0% (423)
47.3% (421)
By Period
Evans
Bennett
P1
50.5%
46.6%
P2
47.7%
50.5%
P3
51.3%
43.5%
OT
40.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
51.1%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2022 | 3 | 04:53 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 3 | 01:27 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 3 | 01:19 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 02:32 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 11:01 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 10:51 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 15:53 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 03:38 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 10:48 | Defensive | Jake Evans |