Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Bennett 47.3% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 83.4%
Defensive zone
Bennett 52.2%
Neutral zone
Bennett 69.6%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Evans
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Evans
Bennett
Last 9: Evans 2-7 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Evans
Bennett
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
5
Evans
Bennett
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
48.2% (766)
+6.3%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
45.1% (82)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
33.9% (56)
+10.0%
On power play, Evans has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Evans shoots right. Bennett is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Home / Away
Evans
Bennett
Home
49.4% (336)
49.1% (458)
Away
54.8% (314)
44.8% (446)
By Period
Evans
Bennett
P1
55.8%
47.9%
P2
51.7%
47.2%
P3
48.2%
46.4%
OT
100.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 04:38 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 04:14 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 01:04 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 17:05 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 00:24 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 15:22 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 03:15 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 00:55 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 00:50 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |