Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Evans wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Boyd 45.8% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyd 58.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 70.2%
Neutral zone
Evans 66.3%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Evans
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Evans
Boyd
Last 5: Evans 3-2 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
0
1
Evans
Boyd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Boyd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
2
1
Evans
Boyd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
45.9% (784)
+5.4%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
43.2% (81)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
40.3% (62)
+2.7%
On power play, Evans has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Evans is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Evans shoots right. Boyd is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Evans
Boyd
Home
52.1% (503)
45.1% (501)
Away
47.0% (423)
45.5% (426)
By Period
Evans
Boyd
P1
50.5%
45.9%
P2
47.7%
44.6%
P3
51.3%
45.8%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 14:57 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 13:13 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 15:57 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 11:13 | Neutral | Jake Evans |