Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Boyd 44.1% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Evans 67.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 95.7%
Neutral zone
Evans 92.1%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 88.8%
88.8%
11.2%
Evans
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Evans
Boyd
Last 10: Evans 7-3 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
1
2
Evans
Boyd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
5
1
Evans
Boyd
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
5
2
Evans
Boyd
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,695)
44.4% (2,186)
+9.4%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
46.5% (256)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,222)
35.6% (208)
+11.5%
On power play, Evans has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Evans is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,292).
Evans shoots right. Boyd is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (813).
Home / Away
Evans
Boyd
Home
53.4% (2,593)
46.3% (1,327)
Away
51.0% (2,394)
41.5% (1,324)
By Period
Evans
Boyd
P1
54.0%
41.7%
P2
50.9%
46.2%
P3
52.0%
44.0%
OT
46.5%
22.2%
Final 5 min
50.4%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 06:08 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 14:14 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 06:03 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 02:39 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 1 | 12:13 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 16:36 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 03:14 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 15:30 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 15:26 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 11:47 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 14:57 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 13:13 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 15:57 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 11:13 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 01:03 | Neutral | Jake Evans |