Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.0% vs 46.0%). Guentzel wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Lucic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 46.3% vs Lucic 46.6% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 53.4%
Defensive zone
Lucic 54.9%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 53.7%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Guentzel
Lucic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Guentzel
Lucic
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Guentzel
1
0
Guentzel
Lucic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Lucic
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (685)
44.4% (401)
+1.9%
Power Play
45.7% (291)
49.5% (198)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (42)
33.3% (3)
+9.6%
On penalty kill, Guentzel has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lucic shoots left. Guentzel is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Guentzel shoots left. Lucic is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (337).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Lucic
Home
48.3% (544)
48.3% (317)
Away
43.2% (474)
43.5% (285)
By Period
Guentzel
Lucic
P1
47.8%
41.3%
P2
45.2%
47.9%
P3
45.3%
50.3%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
42.5%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.0%
Lucic
46.0%▬
45.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2017 | 3 | 09:46 | Neutral | Jake Guentzel |