Scouting Report
Milan Lucic holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Guentzel wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Lucic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 50.4% vs Lucic 51.5% (-3.9%)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 58.4%
Defensive zone
Lucic 60.7%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 55.7%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Guentzel
Lucic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Lucic
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (20)
57.1% (28)
-12.1%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
50.0% (6)
+25.0%
On power play, Guentzel has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lucic shoots left. Guentzel is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Guentzel shoots left. Lucic is 76.5% vs left-shot opponents (17).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Lucic
Home
56.3% (16)
57.1% (14)
Away
44.4% (9)
55.0% (20)
By Period
Guentzel
Lucic
P1
20.0%
61.1%
P2
57.1%
44.4%
P3
80.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
62.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
52.0%
Lucic
46.0%▬
45.5%
55.9%