Scouting Report
Jake Guentzel holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 50.0% vs Lucic 48.2% (+6.4%)
Offensive zone
Lucic 54.3%
Defensive zone
Lucic 58.1%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 51.2%
Result
Milan Lucic favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Guentzel
Lucic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Lucic
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (13)
44.7% (38)
+1.5%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
0.0% (1)
+100.0%
On power play, Guentzel has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lucic shoots left. Guentzel is 66.7% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Guentzel shoots left. Lucic is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Lucic
Home
75.0% (8)
48.3% (29)
Away
25.0% (8)
30.0% (10)
By Period
Guentzel
Lucic
P1
62.5%
53.3%
P2
50.0%
41.2%
P3
33.3%
28.6%
Final 5 min
0.0%
22.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
50.0%
Lucic
46.0%▬
45.5%
43.6%