Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Guentzel wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 47.4% vs Hischier 54.9% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 70.2%
Defensive zone
Hischier 77.7%
Neutral zone
Hischier 52.6%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 70.2%
70.2%
29.8%
Guentzel
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Guentzel
Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Guentzel
Hischier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (200)
55.0% (1,107)
-6.0%
Power Play
42.3% (111)
63.1% (252)
-20.8%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (24)
43.6% (149)
+2.2%
On power play, Hischier has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Guentzel is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Guentzel shoots left. Hischier is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (977).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Hischier
Home
48.8% (166)
56.5% (763)
Away
44.4% (169)
54.0% (745)
By Period
Guentzel
Hischier
P1
46.7%
56.0%
P2
48.5%
57.6%
P3
44.3%
53.0%
OT
42.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.4%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.6%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 10:02 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 05:17 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |