Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Guentzel on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Guentzel wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 46.3% vs Hischier 52.6% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Guentzel 74.5%
Defensive zone
Hischier 86.2%
Neutral zone
Hischier 51.5%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Guentzel
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Guentzel
Hischier
Last 10: Guentzel 5-5 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
5
3
Guentzel
Hischier
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
2
Guentzel
Hischier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (685)
51.5% (8,379)
-5.2%
Power Play
45.7% (291)
59.7% (1,736)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (42)
49.4% (903)
-6.5%
On power play, Hischier has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Guentzel is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Guentzel shoots left. Hischier is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,048).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Hischier
Home
48.3% (544)
53.0% (5,449)
Away
43.2% (474)
52.2% (5,569)
By Period
Guentzel
Hischier
P1
47.8%
52.9%
P2
45.2%
52.4%
P3
45.3%
52.6%
OT
33.3%
50.6%
Final 5 min
42.5%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.0%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 10:02 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 05:17 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 02:20 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 08:14 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 08:20 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 08:39 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 19:17 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 12:31 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 5, 2018 | 2 | 00:34 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 5, 2018 | 1 | 16:34 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |