Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Guentzel on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 46.9% vs Hischier 55.2% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 59.7%
Defensive zone
Hischier 93.8%
Neutral zone
Hischier 74.6%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 71.0%
29.0%
71.0%
Guentzel
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Guentzel
Hischier
Last 6: Guentzel 4-2 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
4
0
Guentzel
Hischier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
2
Guentzel
Hischier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (256)
55.8% (1,228)
-9.7%
Power Play
47.5% (122)
62.1% (282)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
47.6% (267)
-30.9%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +30.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Guentzel is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Guentzel shoots left. Hischier is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,187).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Hischier
Home
49.3% (201)
56.5% (867)
Away
42.6% (183)
54.6% (910)
By Period
Guentzel
Hischier
P1
49.6%
57.9%
P2
45.6%
55.9%
P3
41.6%
52.7%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
44.7%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
46.0%▼
48.0%
46.1%
Hischier
56.0%▲
54.5%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 02:20 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 08:14 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 08:20 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 08:39 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 19:17 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 12:31 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |