Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.0% vs 46.3%). Guentzel wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 46.3% vs Oshie 46.4% (-0.3%)
Offensive zone
Oshie 61.7%
Defensive zone
Oshie 59.2%
Neutral zone
Oshie 50.2%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Guentzel
Oshie
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (685)
45.2% (764)
+1.1%
Power Play
45.7% (291)
47.7% (1,221)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (42)
40.2% (164)
+2.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Guentzel is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (380).
Guentzel shoots left. Oshie is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,672).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Oshie
Home
48.3% (544)
48.7% (1,103)
Away
43.2% (474)
43.7% (1,047)
By Period
Guentzel
Oshie
P1
47.8%
47.3%
P2
45.2%
45.2%
P3
45.3%
46.7%
OT
33.3%
40.8%
Final 5 min
42.5%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.0%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.3%