Scouting Report
Jake Guentzel holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 50.0% vs Oshie 47.5% (+3.9%)
Offensive zone
Oshie 77.4%
Defensive zone
Guentzel 65.2%
Neutral zone
Oshie 52.2%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Guentzel
Oshie
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (13)
48.3% (29)
-2.1%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
46.3% (149)
+53.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
0.0% (2)
+0.0%
On power play, Guentzel has a +53.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Guentzel is 28.6% vs right-shot opponents (7).
Guentzel shoots left. Oshie is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (152).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Oshie
Home
75.0% (8)
55.9% (93)
Away
25.0% (8)
35.6% (87)
By Period
Guentzel
Oshie
P1
62.5%
50.9%
P2
50.0%
42.9%
P3
33.3%
43.6%
Final 5 min
0.0%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
46.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.1%