Scouting Report
Jake Guentzel holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 50.4% vs Oshie 45.4% (+9.4%)
Offensive zone
Oshie 68.7%
Defensive zone
Guentzel 58.2%
Neutral zone
Oshie 52.1%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Guentzel
Oshie
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (20)
57.7% (26)
-12.7%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
41.3% (138)
+33.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
0.0% (5)
+100.0%
On penalty kill, Guentzel has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Guentzel is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (5).
Guentzel shoots left. Oshie is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Oshie
Home
56.3% (16)
41.0% (78)
Away
44.4% (9)
44.0% (91)
By Period
Guentzel
Oshie
P1
20.0%
42.6%
P2
57.1%
41.9%
P3
80.0%
41.8%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
46.0%▼
48.0%
52.0%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
42.6%