Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Barkov wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.5% vs Benn 59.1% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 55.7%
Defensive zone
Barkov 77.0%
Neutral zone
Barkov 59.5%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Barkov
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Barkov
Benn
Last 8: Barkov 2-6 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
5
Barkov
Benn
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
0
Barkov
Benn
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
0
1
Barkov
Benn
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (863)
61.8% (584)
-8.7%
Power Play
63.4% (276)
56.7% (224)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (193)
56.1% (57)
-5.3%
On even strength, Benn has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Barkov is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Barkov shoots left. Benn is 64.7% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Barkov
Benn
Home
58.1% (627)
64.4% (433)
Away
52.1% (705)
55.8% (432)
By Period
Barkov
Benn
P1
53.3%
61.8%
P2
55.0%
59.6%
P3
56.0%
59.2%
OT
60.9%
55.6%
Final 5 min
55.5%
62.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.9%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 14:57 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 09:58 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 13:02 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 17:36 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 03:09 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 03:02 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 00:15 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |