Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.0% vs 53.2%). Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.9% vs Carter 53.2% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 38-26 in 64 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 79.1%
Defensive zone
Carter 53.4%
Neutral zone
Benn 62.6%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Benn
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
38
(64 meetings)
26
38
Benn
Carter
Last 10: Benn 5-5 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
11
12
Benn
Carter
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
9
14
Benn
Carter
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
6
12
Benn
Carter
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,450)
53.3% (8,728)
+0.2%
Power Play
52.5% (2,054)
57.3% (1,554)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (515)
46.3% (1,087)
+3.0%
On power play, Carter has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Benn is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,766).
Benn shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Home / Away
Benn
Carter
Home
54.9% (4,547)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
51.0% (4,488)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Benn
Carter
P1
51.9%
53.6%
P2
52.6%
52.8%
P3
54.0%
53.1%
OT
62.4%
56.5%
Final 5 min
53.6%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 00:56 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:53 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:49 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 01:20 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 06:03 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 1 | 11:47 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 1 | 04:55 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 14:19 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 19, 2021 | OT | 02:47 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 19, 2021 | OT | 02:44 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 13:13 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 8, 2020 | 3 | 04:21 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 8, 2020 | 3 | 01:44 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 2 | 00:08 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 3 | 19:06 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 2 | 04:40 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 1 | 06:04 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 1 | 04:14 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 1 | 01:31 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 17:08 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |