Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (60.1% vs 59.4%). Benn wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.1% vs Carter 58.5% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 82.8%
Defensive zone
Carter 80.8%
Neutral zone
Carter 50.7%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Benn
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Benn
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
0
Benn
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Benn
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Benn
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (584)
59.7% (727)
+2.1%
Power Play
56.7% (224)
68.1% (72)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (57)
53.2% (139)
+2.9%
On power play, Carter has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Benn is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (397).
Benn shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Home / Away
Benn
Carter
Home
64.4% (433)
58.7% (455)
Away
55.8% (432)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Benn
Carter
P1
61.8%
61.3%
P2
59.6%
57.1%
P3
59.2%
59.8%
OT
55.6%
57.1%
Final 5 min
62.7%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
60.1%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 01:20 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 06:03 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 1 | 11:47 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 1 | 04:55 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |