Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.9% vs Carter 60.1% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 79.5%
Defensive zone
Carter 81.5%
Neutral zone
Carter 52.4%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 81.5%
18.5%
81.5%
Benn
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Benn
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
1
Benn
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (479)
65.6% (262)
-3.0%
Power Play
58.4% (190)
68.3% (63)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (43)
50.5% (99)
+7.6%
On power play, Carter has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Benn is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Benn shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Home / Away
Benn
Carter
Home
60.5% (349)
64.3% (207)
Away
62.0% (363)
60.8% (217)
By Period
Benn
Carter
P1
60.8%
65.3%
P2
60.1%
60.1%
P3
62.4%
63.8%
OT
83.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
62.4%
65.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
61.2%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 00:56 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:53 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:49 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |