Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Benn wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 46.7% vs Carter 50.7% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 67.9%
Defensive zone
Benn 69.3%
Neutral zone
Benn 70.2%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 69.6%
69.6%
30.4%
Benn
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Benn
Carter
Last 10: Benn 3-7 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Benn
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
3
Benn
Carter
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
3
5
Benn
Carter
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (612)
51.0% (565)
-4.6%
Power Play
43.2% (95)
50.0% (188)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
57.6% (33)
50.0% (12)
+7.6%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Benn is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Benn shoots left. Carter is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (509).
Home / Away
Benn
Carter
Home
48.5% (377)
52.3% (421)
Away
43.9% (374)
49.0% (353)
By Period
Benn
Carter
P1
40.4%
55.4%
P2
52.1%
49.1%
P3
46.8%
47.6%
OT
36.4%
58.8%
Final 5 min
45.5%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
52.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2012 | 3 | 01:09 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 2 | 12:12 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 2 | 04:31 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 1 | 17:32 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 1 | 11:27 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 1 | 08:57 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 1 | 03:36 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 3 | 10:49 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 3 | 01:36 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 09:58 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 01:13 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 1 | 16:08 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 1 | 11:25 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 1 | 08:39 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |