Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Benn wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 49.2% vs Carter 51.2% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 86.8%
Defensive zone
Benn 56.9%
Neutral zone
Benn 67.6%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 80.4%
80.4%
19.6%
Benn
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Benn
Carter
Last 6: Benn 0-6 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
4
Benn
Carter
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Benn
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (297)
49.9% (935)
-0.1%
Power Play
49.5% (97)
61.8% (157)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (24)
46.7% (92)
-9.2%
On power play, Carter has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Benn is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (200).
Benn shoots left. Carter is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Home / Away
Benn
Carter
Home
48.5% (227)
52.4% (638)
Away
49.7% (191)
50.0% (546)
By Period
Benn
Carter
P1
51.4%
49.6%
P2
40.4%
50.9%
P3
55.5%
53.0%
OT
100.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
43.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2019 | 2 | 00:08 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 3 | 19:06 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 2 | 04:40 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 1 | 06:04 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 1 | 04:14 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 1 | 01:31 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |