Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 46.7% vs Duchene 50.9% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 59.5%
Defensive zone
Benn 65.8%
Neutral zone
Benn 63.3%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Benn
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Benn
Duchene
Last 7: Benn 2-5 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Benn
Duchene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
2
Benn
Duchene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Benn
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (612)
51.0% (357)
-4.6%
Power Play
43.2% (95)
53.6% (28)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
57.6% (33)
50.0% (2)
+7.6%
On power play, Duchene has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Benn is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Benn shoots left. Duchene is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Benn
Duchene
Home
48.5% (377)
51.0% (208)
Away
43.9% (374)
51.4% (183)
By Period
Benn
Duchene
P1
40.4%
53.3%
P2
52.1%
53.4%
P3
46.8%
44.6%
OT
36.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.5%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.2%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2011 | 2 | 00:25 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 18, 2011 | 1 | 18:42 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 18, 2011 | 1 | 04:26 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 18, 2011 | 1 | 04:21 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 18, 2011 | 1 | 00:55 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 4, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 1 | 16:35 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |