Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 21 meetings). Benn wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.9% vs Duchene 54.1% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 38-29 in 67 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 63.7%
Defensive zone
Duchene 51.2%
Neutral zone
Benn 55.5%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Benn
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
38
(67 meetings)
29
38
Benn
Duchene
Last 10: Benn 6-4 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
15
11
Benn
Duchene
26 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
6
15
Benn
Duchene
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
8
12
Benn
Duchene
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,450)
53.9% (10,396)
-0.4%
Power Play
52.5% (2,054)
56.9% (1,665)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (515)
49.1% (468)
+0.2%
On power play, Duchene has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Benn is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Benn shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Home / Away
Benn
Duchene
Home
54.9% (4,547)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
51.0% (4,488)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Benn
Duchene
P1
51.9%
54.5%
P2
52.6%
54.5%
P3
54.0%
53.4%
OT
62.4%
56.3%
Final 5 min
53.6%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2022 | OT | 04:21 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 2 | 00:20 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 16:26 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 11:07 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 09:34 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 1 | 17:00 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 1 | 14:37 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 16, 2018 | OT | 02:41 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 3 | 07:27 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 1 | 13:07 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 3 | 16:33 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 3 | 14:36 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 3 | 08:32 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 3 | 00:29 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 2 | 13:38 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 2 | 00:44 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 1 | 07:00 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 13:02 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 05:55 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |