Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Benn wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 48.9% vs Duchene 51.6% (-4.5%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 50.5%
Defensive zone
Duchene 60.2%
Neutral zone
Duchene 52.7%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Benn
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (61)
51.2% (324)
-6.9%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
60.4% (53)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
16.7% (6)
+33.3%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Benn is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Benn shoots left. Duchene is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Benn
Duchene
Home
47.4% (38)
51.6% (182)
Away
47.6% (42)
52.2% (201)
By Period
Benn
Duchene
P1
32.0%
49.6%
P2
67.9%
56.2%
P3
40.7%
48.6%
Final 5 min
56.3%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.5%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%