Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Benn wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 46.6% vs Duchene 54.2% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 18-8 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 82.5%
Defensive zone
Benn 86.0%
Neutral zone
Benn 75.0%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 81.3%
81.3%
18.7%
Benn
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
18
(26 meetings)
8
18
Benn
Duchene
Last 10: Benn 4-6 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
4
Benn
Duchene
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
8
Benn
Duchene
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
6
Benn
Duchene
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (561)
56.8% (706)
-9.0%
Power Play
39.8% (133)
56.1% (57)
-16.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
42.3% (130)
-2.3%
On power play, Duchene has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Benn is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Benn shoots left. Duchene is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Home / Away
Benn
Duchene
Home
51.4% (317)
56.6% (488)
Away
41.8% (392)
52.3% (405)
By Period
Benn
Duchene
P1
42.7%
52.0%
P2
45.4%
53.7%
P3
50.4%
58.5%
OT
50.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
47.0%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.1%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2013 | 2 | 12:08 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 2 | 01:07 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 3 | 15:13 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 3 | 09:47 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 3 | 09:34 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 2 | 14:55 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 2 | 14:45 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 2 | 14:37 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 2 | 08:48 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 2 | 03:01 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 1 | 03:16 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 3 | 14:22 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 3 | 13:16 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 3 | 06:29 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 2 | 14:10 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 2 | 02:40 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 2 | 00:23 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 1 | 15:41 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |