Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.5% vs Duchene 50.3% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 62.1%
Defensive zone
Duchene 77.3%
Neutral zone
Duchene 59.1%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Benn
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Benn
Duchene
Last 6: Benn 1-5 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
2
Benn
Duchene
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Benn
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Benn
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (505)
49.4% (933)
+3.3%
Power Play
53.1% (245)
58.7% (104)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (28)
47.6% (21)
+6.0%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Benn is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Benn shoots left. Duchene is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (656).
Home / Away
Benn
Duchene
Home
55.5% (398)
51.9% (534)
Away
50.0% (380)
48.7% (524)
By Period
Benn
Duchene
P1
50.2%
51.0%
P2
56.3%
48.8%
P3
52.1%
50.6%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.1%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.8%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2014 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 2 | 01:32 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 3 | 12:15 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 1, 2013 | OT | 00:05 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 1 | 03:34 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 11:32 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |