Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Benn wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 49.2% vs Duchene 54.9% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 50.6%
Defensive zone
Duchene 74.6%
Neutral zone
Duchene 67.8%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Benn
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Benn
Duchene
Last 5: Benn 3-2 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
3
2
Benn
Duchene
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (297)
55.4% (1,013)
-5.6%
Power Play
49.5% (97)
56.3% (192)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (24)
41.2% (17)
-3.7%
On power play, Duchene has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Benn is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Benn shoots left. Duchene is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Home / Away
Benn
Duchene
Home
48.5% (227)
56.2% (642)
Away
49.7% (191)
54.3% (580)
By Period
Benn
Duchene
P1
51.4%
56.2%
P2
40.4%
56.5%
P3
55.5%
52.9%
OT
100.0%
64.3%
Final 5 min
43.4%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 16:26 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 11:07 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 09:34 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 1 | 17:00 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 1 | 14:37 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |