Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Benn wins 40.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 47.8% vs Bergeron 56.8% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 88.3%
Defensive zone
Benn 78.8%
Neutral zone
Benn 86.9%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 86.5%
86.5%
13.5%
Benn
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Benn
Bergeron
Last 6: Benn 1-5 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
3
Benn
Bergeron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Benn
Bergeron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Benn
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (316)
57.0% (1,376)
-7.9%
Power Play
44.2% (147)
62.8% (323)
-18.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
51.3% (279)
-11.3%
On power play, Bergeron has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Benn is 40.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Benn shoots left. Bergeron is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,343).
Home / Away
Benn
Bergeron
Home
50.0% (232)
59.1% (986)
Away
44.7% (246)
55.1% (992)
By Period
Benn
Bergeron
P1
43.9%
55.5%
P2
45.6%
58.0%
P3
51.6%
57.9%
OT
100.0%
53.1%
Final 5 min
43.4%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.3%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 16:38 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 00:15 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 03:27 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 3 | 07:30 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 2 | 09:25 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 1 | 14:59 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |