Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 54.7% vs Bergeron 61.2% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 52.2%
Defensive zone
Benn 57.4%
Neutral zone
Benn 55.2%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Benn
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Benn
Bergeron
Last 7: Benn 3-4 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
3
Benn
Bergeron
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Benn
Bergeron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (709)
63.8% (1,102)
-8.5%
Power Play
58.3% (127)
65.3% (288)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (55)
47.6% (210)
-0.3%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Benn is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Benn shoots left. Bergeron is 63.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,126).
Home / Away
Benn
Bergeron
Home
56.2% (443)
62.5% (882)
Away
54.2% (448)
61.3% (718)
By Period
Benn
Bergeron
P1
55.4%
62.5%
P2
54.1%
62.7%
P3
55.6%
60.6%
OT
71.4%
62.5%
Final 5 min
58.9%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 19:34 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 17:55 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 14:25 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 05:14 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 06:17 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 03:23 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |