Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Benn wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.1% vs Bergeron 60.5% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 74.2%
Defensive zone
Benn 65.8%
Neutral zone
Benn 71.6%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 71.1%
71.1%
28.9%
Benn
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Benn
Bergeron
Last 8: Benn 1-7 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
4
Benn
Bergeron
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
3
Benn
Bergeron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (584)
62.5% (1,109)
-0.7%
Power Play
56.7% (224)
62.2% (352)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (57)
53.5% (245)
+2.6%
On power play, Bergeron has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Benn is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (397).
Benn shoots left. Bergeron is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,178).
Home / Away
Benn
Bergeron
Home
64.4% (433)
61.9% (917)
Away
55.8% (432)
60.2% (789)
By Period
Benn
Bergeron
P1
61.8%
60.8%
P2
59.6%
60.3%
P3
59.2%
63.0%
OT
55.6%
51.5%
Final 5 min
62.7%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
60.1%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 02:18 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 16:18 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 05:01 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 13:41 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 07:04 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 12:40 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 08:38 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 08:28 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |