Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 46.6% vs Johansen 51.2% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 65.2%
Defensive zone
Johansen 80.2%
Neutral zone
Johansen 64.8%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 68.8%
31.2%
68.8%
Benn
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Benn
Johansen
Last 8: Benn 6-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
3
0
Benn
Johansen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Benn
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
3
0
Benn
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (561)
51.2% (447)
-3.4%
Power Play
39.8% (133)
53.4% (73)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
44.4% (9)
-4.4%
On power play, Johansen has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Benn is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Benn shoots left. Johansen is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Home / Away
Benn
Johansen
Home
51.4% (317)
54.9% (255)
Away
41.8% (392)
48.2% (274)
By Period
Benn
Johansen
P1
42.7%
51.7%
P2
45.4%
49.4%
P3
50.4%
51.8%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.0%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2013 | 3 | 15:51 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 3 | 07:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 3 | 04:22 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 2 | 09:55 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 2 | 09:46 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 1 | 06:54 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 1 | 03:36 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |