Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.0% vs 53.4%). Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 51 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.9% vs Johansen 53.3% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 67-62 in 129 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 55.2%
Defensive zone
Johansen 66.8%
Neutral zone
Johansen 57.4%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Benn
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
67
-
62
(129 meetings)
67
62
Benn
Johansen
Last 10: Benn 4-6 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
31
20
Benn
Johansen
51 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
24
29
Benn
Johansen
53 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
12
13
Benn
Johansen
25 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,450)
53.1% (11,017)
+0.4%
Power Play
52.5% (2,054)
56.2% (2,163)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (515)
50.5% (978)
-1.2%
On power play, Johansen has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Benn is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,766).
Benn shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Benn
Johansen
Home
54.9% (4,547)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
51.0% (4,488)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Benn
Johansen
P1
51.9%
53.2%
P2
52.6%
53.9%
P3
54.0%
52.8%
OT
62.4%
58.2%
Final 5 min
53.6%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 06:48 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 06:41 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 19:04 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 12:59 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 01:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 17:28 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 09:28 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 09:22 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 17:01 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 14:01 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 04:51 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 14:10 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 03:13 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:26 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 03:30 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 05:52 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 03:24 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 11:34 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 16:36 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 13:37 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |