Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (60.1% vs 59.2%). Look for Benn on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Benn wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.1% vs Johansen 58.2% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 58.6%
Defensive zone
Benn 52.1%
Neutral zone
Benn 53.1%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Benn
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Benn
Johansen
Last 6: Benn 4-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Benn
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
3
1
Benn
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (584)
59.8% (625)
+2.0%
Power Play
56.7% (224)
58.2% (196)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (57)
51.9% (27)
+4.2%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Benn is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (397).
Benn shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Benn
Johansen
Home
64.4% (433)
60.3% (436)
Away
55.8% (432)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Benn
Johansen
P1
61.8%
61.3%
P2
59.6%
60.4%
P3
59.2%
56.0%
OT
55.6%
56.3%
Final 5 min
62.7%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
60.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 14:10 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 03:13 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:26 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 03:30 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 05:52 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 03:24 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |