Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.7% vs 52.0%). Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 51.5% vs Johansen 51.8% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 70.5%
Defensive zone
Johansen 65.9%
Neutral zone
Benn 56.8%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Benn
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Benn
Johansen
Last 8: Benn 3-5 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
0
Benn
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
4
Benn
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Benn
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (362)
51.6% (1,127)
+0.1%
Power Play
52.8% (178)
53.6% (267)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
51.6% (244)
-4.4%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Benn is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (273).
Benn shoots left. Johansen is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,067).
Home / Away
Benn
Johansen
Home
56.9% (304)
55.0% (809)
Away
46.0% (272)
49.0% (829)
By Period
Benn
Johansen
P1
50.8%
50.7%
P2
49.0%
54.4%
P3
54.6%
50.5%
OT
70.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
46.4%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
51.7%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 14:14 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 12:11 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 10:48 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 07:09 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 2 | 16:24 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 12:53 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 10:42 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 10:16 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |