Jamie Benn vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 67.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.3% (+13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 70.2%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 69.3%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.5%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Benn
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Benn
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Benn 2-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
1
Benn
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Benn
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Benn
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (479)
51.0% (408)
+11.6%
Power Play
58.4% (190)
0.0% (6)
+58.4%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (43)
35.9% (78)
+22.2%
On power play, Benn has a +58.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Benn is 67.2% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Benn shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
Benn
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
60.5% (349)
50.8% (258)
Away
62.0% (363)
44.9% (234)
By Period
Benn
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
60.8%
51.6%
P2
60.1%
45.2%
P3
62.4%
47.6%
OT
83.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
62.4%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
61.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 09:02 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 03:52 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 11:35 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 06:14 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 04:05 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |