Jamie Benn vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Benn wins 58.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 55.0% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 85.9%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.0%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.2%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Benn
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Benn
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (365)
50.3% (479)
+5.6%
Power Play
56.8% (132)
50.0% (28)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (32)
30.0% (50)
+23.1%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Benn is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (329).
Benn shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Benn
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
57.3% (267)
48.9% (270)
Away
54.6% (262)
48.1% (287)
By Period
Benn
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
54.3%
48.7%
P2
55.7%
50.0%
P3
58.1%
47.3%
Final 5 min
59.7%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
56.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2025 | 1 | 19:09 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 11:38 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |