Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.5% vs 47.1%). Benn wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 48.9% vs Poehling 47.4% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 78.4%
Defensive zone
Poehling 78.2%
Neutral zone
Poehling 61.4%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 69.8%
30.2%
69.8%
Benn
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Benn
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Benn
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (61)
49.8% (626)
-5.5%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
58.3% (12)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
38.2% (207)
+11.8%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Benn is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Benn shoots left. Poehling is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Benn
Poehling
Home
47.4% (38)
47.3% (404)
Away
47.6% (42)
46.9% (441)
By Period
Benn
Poehling
P1
32.0%
53.5%
P2
67.9%
39.4%
P3
40.7%
49.1%
Final 5 min
56.3%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.5%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 07:45 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 05:01 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |