Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Benn wins 58.7% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 55.0% vs Poehling 50.8% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 65.6%
Defensive zone
Poehling 81.6%
Neutral zone
Poehling 59.8%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 74.3%
25.7%
74.3%
Benn
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Benn
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
2
Benn
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Benn
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (365)
52.6% (622)
+3.3%
Power Play
56.8% (132)
58.3% (12)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (32)
39.8% (103)
+13.3%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Benn is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (329).
Benn shoots left. Poehling is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Benn
Poehling
Home
57.3% (267)
53.2% (393)
Away
54.6% (262)
48.3% (344)
By Period
Benn
Poehling
P1
54.3%
50.9%
P2
55.7%
56.2%
P3
58.1%
46.1%
Final 5 min
59.7%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
56.0%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 13:03 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 04:19 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 14:07 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |