Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 64.7% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.1% vs Poehling 46.2% (+14.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 90.6%
Defensive zone
Poehling 63.5%
Neutral zone
Benn 73.6%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 69.7%
69.7%
30.3%
Benn
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Benn
Poehling
Last 6: Benn 4-2 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
3
0
Benn
Poehling
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
2
Benn
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (584)
46.5% (269)
+15.3%
Power Play
56.7% (224)
66.7% (3)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (57)
42.4% (139)
+13.7%
On even strength, Benn has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Benn is 64.7% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Benn shoots left. Poehling is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Benn
Poehling
Home
64.4% (433)
45.2% (177)
Away
55.8% (432)
45.3% (234)
By Period
Benn
Poehling
P1
61.8%
47.7%
P2
59.6%
44.4%
P3
59.2%
44.6%
OT
55.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
62.7%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
60.1%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 15:22 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 08:55 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 06:13 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 15:52 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 07:08 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 06:00 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |