Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 59.8% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 55.0% vs Aho 52.4% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 62.2%
Defensive zone
Aho 51.0%
Neutral zone
Benn 64.6%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Benn
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Benn
Aho
Last 10: Benn 6-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Benn
Aho
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
1
Benn
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
2
1
Benn
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (366)
52.4% (622)
+5.3%
Power Play
50.0% (88)
60.7% (28)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (24)
52.4% (42)
+1.8%
On power play, Aho has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Benn is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Benn shoots left. Aho is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Benn
Aho
Home
55.9% (254)
54.9% (359)
Away
56.3% (224)
50.5% (333)
By Period
Benn
Aho
P1
56.6%
51.6%
P2
55.6%
53.3%
P3
54.1%
52.7%
OT
75.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.2%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
56.1%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2021 | 3 | 12:26 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 19:10 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 10:35 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 08:52 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 3 | 17:55 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 03:53 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 3 | 19:20 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 3 | 17:25 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |