Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Benn wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.9% vs Aho 51.2% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 17-4 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 64.9%
Defensive zone
Benn 61.1%
Neutral zone
Benn 65.4%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Benn
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
4
(21 meetings)
17
4
Benn
Aho
Last 10: Benn 8-2 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
8
2
Benn
Aho
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
4
1
Benn
Aho
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
5
1
Benn
Aho
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,450)
50.1% (6,619)
+3.4%
Power Play
52.5% (2,054)
58.9% (1,310)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (515)
46.3% (464)
+3.0%
On power play, Aho has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Benn is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Benn shoots left. Aho is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,305).
Home / Away
Benn
Aho
Home
54.9% (4,547)
52.4% (4,308)
Away
51.0% (4,488)
50.1% (4,085)
By Period
Benn
Aho
P1
51.9%
51.1%
P2
52.6%
52.0%
P3
54.0%
50.7%
OT
62.4%
48.9%
Final 5 min
53.6%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 19:41 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 12:31 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 12:42 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 03:43 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 16:27 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 13:19 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 14:57 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 3 | 12:26 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 19:10 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 10:35 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 08:52 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 3 | 17:55 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 03:53 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 3 | 19:20 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 3 | 17:25 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 01:45 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 2 | 15:42 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 2 | 11:43 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |