Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 58.4% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 54.7% vs Aho 52.2% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 51.0%
Defensive zone
Benn 74.0%
Neutral zone
Benn 65.1%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Benn
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Benn
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
3
0
Benn
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (709)
51.6% (819)
+3.7%
Power Play
58.3% (127)
58.4% (173)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (55)
46.3% (67)
+1.0%
On even strength, Benn has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Benn is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Benn shoots left. Aho is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Benn
Aho
Home
56.2% (443)
53.9% (568)
Away
54.2% (448)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Benn
Aho
P1
55.4%
55.4%
P2
54.1%
51.2%
P3
55.6%
50.9%
OT
71.4%
28.6%
Final 5 min
58.9%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 16:27 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 13:19 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 14:57 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |