Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Benn wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 48.9% vs Hertl 57.2% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 80.5%
Defensive zone
Hertl 68.6%
Neutral zone
Hertl 73.1%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 80.5%
19.5%
80.5%
Benn
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Benn
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (61)
58.1% (823)
-13.8%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
56.2% (265)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
62.9% (35)
-12.9%
On even strength, Hertl has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Benn is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Benn shoots left. Hertl is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Benn
Hertl
Home
47.4% (38)
59.7% (561)
Away
47.6% (42)
55.9% (562)
By Period
Benn
Hertl
P1
32.0%
51.6%
P2
67.9%
63.8%
P3
40.7%
58.6%
Final 5 min
56.3%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 00:27 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |