Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Benn wins 67.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.9% vs Hertl 56.8% (+3.7%)
Offensive zone
Benn 65.4%
Defensive zone
Hertl 68.8%
Neutral zone
Hertl 52.3%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Benn
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (479)
57.0% (718)
+5.6%
Power Play
58.4% (190)
64.9% (188)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (43)
44.2% (77)
+13.9%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Benn is 67.2% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Benn shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Benn
Hertl
Home
60.5% (349)
59.2% (463)
Away
62.0% (363)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Benn
Hertl
P1
60.8%
56.3%
P2
60.1%
55.4%
P3
62.4%
60.5%
OT
83.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
62.4%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
61.2%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%