Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.9% vs Johnson 49.7% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnson 53.7%
Defensive zone
Johnson 73.6%
Neutral zone
Johnson 62.3%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Benn
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
12
(19 meetings)
7
12
Benn
Johnson
Last 10: Benn 5-5 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
3
Benn
Johnson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
3
6
Benn
Johnson
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Benn
Johnson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,450)
49.8% (5,396)
+3.7%
Power Play
52.5% (2,054)
54.6% (885)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (515)
42.3% (707)
+7.0%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Benn is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,766).
Benn shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Benn
Johnson
Home
54.9% (4,547)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
51.0% (4,488)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Benn
Johnson
P1
51.9%
50.1%
P2
52.6%
50.6%
P3
54.0%
48.4%
OT
62.4%
42.5%
Final 5 min
53.6%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 01:54 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 10:41 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 17:25 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 18:12 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 19:04 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 19:37 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 16:13 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 1 | 03:41 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 3 | 14:35 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 1 | 09:58 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 15:35 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 2 | 08:55 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 2 | 01:11 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 1 | 15:23 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 10:39 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 1 | 12:09 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |