Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +16.8% FO% edge overall. Benn wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.9% vs Johnson 45.7% (+16.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 55.7%
Defensive zone
Johnson 58.8%
Neutral zone
Johnson 56.9%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Benn
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Benn
Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Benn
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (479)
44.6% (285)
+18.0%
Power Play
58.4% (190)
46.7% (60)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (43)
16.7% (6)
+41.4%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +41.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Benn is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Benn shoots left. Johnson is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Benn
Johnson
Home
60.5% (349)
50.8% (179)
Away
62.0% (363)
37.8% (172)
By Period
Benn
Johnson
P1
60.8%
41.3%
P2
60.1%
41.8%
P3
62.4%
49.6%
OT
83.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
62.4%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
61.2%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 01:54 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |