Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Benn wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.1% vs Johnson 50.7% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 54.8%
Defensive zone
Benn 64.1%
Neutral zone
Johnson 54.8%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Benn
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Benn
Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Benn
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (584)
47.4% (78)
+14.4%
Power Play
56.7% (224)
57.6% (33)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (57)
100.0% (2)
-43.9%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +43.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Benn is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (397).
Benn shoots left. Johnson is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Benn
Johnson
Home
64.4% (433)
50.9% (57)
Away
55.8% (432)
51.8% (56)
By Period
Benn
Johnson
P1
61.8%
44.1%
P2
59.6%
59.4%
P3
59.2%
52.3%
OT
55.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
62.7%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
60.1%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 10:41 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 17:25 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |