Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 55.0% vs Johnson 53.7% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 52.1%
Defensive zone
Johnson 52.2%
Neutral zone
Benn 57.5%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Benn
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Benn
Johnson
Last 5: Benn 3-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Benn
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
3
1
Benn
Johnson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (366)
55.3% (284)
+2.4%
Power Play
50.0% (88)
50.0% (26)
+0.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Benn is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (157).
Benn shoots left. Johnson is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Benn
Johnson
Home
55.9% (254)
57.4% (162)
Away
56.3% (224)
52.0% (148)
By Period
Benn
Johnson
P1
56.6%
51.5%
P2
55.6%
61.8%
P3
54.1%
47.4%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.2%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
56.1%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 18:12 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 19:04 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 19:37 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 16:13 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |