Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Harkins 52.4% vs Kastelic 53.4% (-1.0%)
Offensive zone
Harkins 51.0%
Defensive zone
Harkins 50.0%
Neutral zone
Harkins 51.0%
Result
Jansen Harkins favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Harkins
Kastelic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Harkins
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (152)
55.4% (345)
-4.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.0% (4)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (66)
35.3% (17)
+23.8%
On power play, Harkins has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Harkins is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Harkins shoots left. Kastelic is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Harkins
Kastelic
Home
54.8% (115)
50.6% (162)
Away
51.9% (104)
57.4% (204)
By Period
Harkins
Kastelic
P1
51.4%
61.5%
P2
53.3%
52.8%
P3
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Harkins
48.0%▼
50.5%
53.4%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%